Expires:No;;543083
FXUS65 KFGZ 222233
AFDFGZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
333 PM MST WED MAY 22 2013
.SYNOPSIS...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SETTLE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
THROUGH THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND. THIS WILL PRODUCE OCCASIONALLY
GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
GUSTY WINDS ARE TAKING PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF THE NORTHLAND THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH OBSERVED GUSTS BEING COMMONLY REPORTED IN THE 35
TO 45 MPH RANGE. EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG WINDS AGAIN
THURSDAY...AND WIND ADVISORIES/RED FLAG WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT TO
ACCOUNT FOR THE ANTICIPATED CONDITIONS. THIS IS ALL OCCURRING AS
LOW PRESSURE MEANDERS ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO THE COMING
HOLIDAY WEEKEND. WINDS...THOUGH DEFINITELY REMAINING BREEZY...ARE
LIKELY TO WEAKEN A NOTCH FOR FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND AS PRESSURE
GRADIENTS LOOSEN A SMIDGE. IN ALL...MAJORITY OF 7-DAY FORECAST
WILL BE REPRESENTED BY SOUTHWEST BREEZES...DRY CONDITIONS...AND 
DAYTIME TEMPS NEAR SEASONAL NORMS.
&&
.AVIATION...
FOR THE 00Z PACKAGE...VFR FOR MOST FOR THE NEXT 24 
HOURS. SFC WINDS SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 15-30KT GUSTS 30-40KT THROUGH 
02Z. FASTEST WINDS OVER AND NORTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM. AFT 02Z WINDS 
SOUTH SOUTHWEST 10-20KT. AFT 16Z THU...WINDS SOUTHWEST 15-30KT GUSTS 
TO 40 KT...AREAS OF BLDU POSSIBLE ACROSS NAVAJO AND APACHE  
COUNTIES. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS. 
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVER THE WESTERN STATES
THROUGH SUNDAY...BRINGING WARM AND DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW ACROSS
ARIZONA.
THE RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TODAY AND THURSDAY FOR
MUCH OF NORTHERN ARIZONA...AND HAS VERIFIED WELL. CONDITIONS
SHOULD IMPROVE TONIGHT AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY INCREASES AND WINDS
DECREASE. SOME LOCATIONS DOWNWIND OF HIGHER TERRAIN MAY EXPERIENCE
BREEZY OVERNIGHT WINDS. ON THURSDAY...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
AND STRONG WINDS WILL GET AN EARLIER START ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN
ARIZONA AND THURSDAY RFW START TIME WAS ADVANCED TO 10 AM MST.
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE BUT SLOW WITH
TIME. THE LATEST FORECAST DATA INDICATE A CHANCE FOR CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON FRIDAY FOR MAINLY NAVAJO AND APACHE
COUNTIES. BORDERLINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTHLAND
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AFTERNOONS.
&&
.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR
AZZ104>117-137>140. 
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST
THURSDAY FOR AZZ104>117-137>140.
WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST THURSDAY FOR
AZZ004>007-009>017-039-040. 
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM MST THIS
EVENING FOR AZZ004-006>008-012-013-015-016-040.
&&
$$
PUBLIC.........KD
AVIATION.......DL
FIRE WEATHER...DL
FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT 
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF