Expires:No;;820442 FXUS62 KMFL 191113 AFDMFL AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 713 AM EDT WED JUN 19 2013 .AVIATION... VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF THE WEATHER ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA. WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE EAST SOUTHEAST BY THE LATE MORNING HOURS ACROSS THE EAST COAST TERMINALS AS THE SEA BREEZE DEVELOPS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND WEST COAST SECTIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. AT KAPF, A WEST COAST SEA BREEZE WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON TURNING THE WINDS TO THE WEST SOUTHWEST. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 300 AM EDT WED JUN 19 2013/ SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)... DEEP LAYER RIDGE WILL BE THE DOMINATE WEATHER FEATURE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH THIS PERIOD WITH PWAT RUNNING WELL BELOW THE JUNE AVERAGE. THE LOW LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WILL EXTEND THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION WITH A GENERAL LIGHT EAST WIND. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW PWAT IN THE 1.3 TO 1.6 RANGE THROUGH FRIDAY. THIS WILL TRANSLATE TO LATE AFTERNOON CONVECTION MAINLY OVER THE INTERIOR AREAS BUT COULD BE CLOSER TO THE COAST ACROSS PALM BEACH COUNTY WHERE THE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BE WEAKER DIRECTLY BENEATH THE SURFACE RIDGE. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BE RUNNING ABOVE NORMAL ESPECIALLY ALONG THE EAST COAST METRO REGION AT NIGHT WITH READINGS STRUGGLING TO DROP BELOW 80 DEGREES. IN ADDITION, THE NAVY AND GFS AEROSOL MODELS DEPICT HIGHER AFRICAN DUST CONCENTRATIONS SPREADING INTO THE AREA ON THURSDAY LEADING TO HAZY SKY CONDITIONS FOR THE END OF THE WEEK. LONG TERM (FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)... GLOBAL MODELS HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT FROM RUN TO RUN IN SHOWING A MOISTURE INCREASE OVER THE WEEKEND ON THE NORTHERN FRINGES OF A TROPICAL WAVE. SO THERE WILL BE A BRIEF INCREASE IN CHANCES FOR RAIN BEFORE THE ATMOSPHERE DRIES OUT AGAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK ONCE THE WAVE PASSES TO THE WEST. MARINE... TRANQUIL MARINE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE WITH A LIGHT EAST WIND THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. FIRE WEATHER... NO PROBLEMS OR CONCERNS WITH AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... WEST PALM BEACH 89 78 87 78 / 30 20 20 20 FORT LAUDERDALE 88 81 88 80 / 20 20 20 20 MIAMI 90 79 89 79 / 20 20 20 20 NAPLES 91 74 92 74 / 30 20 30 20 && .MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. AM...NONE. GM...NONE. && $$ DISCUSSION/MARINE/FIRE...85/AG AVIATION/RADAR...55/CWC