Expires:No;;584025
FXUS62 KTAE 041327
AFDTAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
927 AM EDT SAT JUL 4 2009
.UPDATE...THE MORNING SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
NOW SOUTH OF THE LOCAL AREA OUT ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF AND A
RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING WEST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE GULF.
PLENTY OF DRY AIR HAS MADE ITS WAY OVER THE FORECAST AREA BEHIND
THIS BOUNDARY OVER THE PAST 12 HRS AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN
PLACE THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. THE 12Z TAE SOUNDING INDICATED A .85
INCH PWAT VALUE...WHICH IS VERY DRY FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
DEWPOINTS ARE NOW IN THE LOW 60S OVER MUCH OF THE AREA. AS A
RESULT...A MUCH MORE SUPPRESSED ENVIRONMENT WILL BE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS WITH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING INTO THE
UPPER 90S ACROSS THE INLAND SECTIONS. HEAT INDICES WILL REACH THE
100 TO 102 MARK ONCE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON. THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY
WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY DRIFT BACK NORTH AND OVER THE AREA LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH A RETURN OF MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW OFF THE
GULF ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CWA. WILL ONLY MAKE A FEW
TWEAKS IN THE GRIDS AND NO MAJOR UPDATES ARE EXPECTED NOW.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO PREVAIL AT THE
TERMINALS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THERE ARE TWO EXCEPTIONS.
FIRST...SMOKE FROM A FIRE OVER ON PANAMA CITY BEACH WILL LIKELY
DRIFT BACK OVER THE PFN TERMINAL ONCE WINDS BACK TO THE WSW IN
THIS AFTERNOON'S SEA BREEZE. VSBY IN SMOKE AND HAZE WILL AVERAGE
5-6SM. OVERNIGHT...WILL LIKELY SEE A PERIOD OF MVFR VSBY AT VLD
AFTER 08Z OR SO.
&&
.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM CDT THIS 
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COFFEE...DALE...GENEVA...
     HENRY...HOUSTON.
GA...NONE.
FL...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 1 PM EDT /NOON CDT/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM 
     EDT /6 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BAY...
     CALHOUN...COASTAL WALTON...GADSDEN...HOLMES...INLAND 
     WALTON...JACKSON...JEFFERSON...LAFAYETTE...LEON...LIBERTY...
     MADISON...TAYLOR...WAKULLA...WASHINGTON.
GM...NONE.
&&
$$
GIBBS/WOOL