FGCA72 TJSJ 161057 ESFSJU PRC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-029- 031-035-037-039-041-043-045-047-049-051-053>055-057-059-061-063- 065-067-069-071-073-075-077-079-081-083-085-087-089-091-093-095- 097-099-101-103-105-107-109-111-113-115-117-119-121-123-125-127- 129-131-133-135-137-139-141-143-145-147-149-151-153-VIC010-020- 030-171100- HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR 657 AM AST SAT MAY 16 2009 ...WETTER WEATHER COMING TO PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS MONDAY AND TUESDAY.. A TROUGH MOVING OUT OF THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT AND CROSS THROUGH PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS ON MONDAY. THIS WILL BRING DEEP MOISTURE OVER THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY THAT WILL ALLOW PERIODS OF WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND RAIN...SOME OF WHICH WILL BE HEAVY...TO DEVELOP OVER THE FORECAST AREA. ALTHOUGH WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED...BECAUSE SOILS ARE SATURATED AND RIVERS ARE RUNNING ABOVE BASE LEVELS...PUERTO RICO IS LIKELY TO HAVE CONSIDERABLE NUISANCE FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND URBAN AREAS AS WELL AS NUMEROUS LANDSLIDES IN STEEP TERRAIN. SOME MAIN STEM RIVERS ARE ALSO LIKELY TO APPROACH OR EXCEED FLOOD STAGE MONDAY. ALTHOUGH MOISTURE DIMINISHES MONDAY NIGHT...MODELS ARE INDICATING UNSTABLE CONDITIONS THAT WILL ALLOW SOME THUNDERSTORMS TO FORM TUESDAY...AND POSSIBLY WEDNESDAY...AFTERNOONS THAT WILL ALSO EXASPERATE AN ALREADY DIFFICULT SITUATION. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF AT LEAST TWO TO FOUR INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE AREA FROM SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH ISOLATED AREAS RECEIVING MORE THAN SIX...UP TO TEN INCHES OF RAINFALL DURING THAT EXTENDED TIME PERIOD. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAY MONDAY...WITH ONE TWO THREE INCHES OVER MANY AREAS. AMOUNTS ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY COULD BE QUITE HEAVY LOCALLY...WITH A FEW AMOUNTS EXCEEDING FOUR INCHES ON THOSE DAYS. $$