FGUS51 KTAR 261555 RVFBUF RIVER STAGE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER, TAUNTON, MA 1048 AM EST THU NOV 26 2009 : :THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER. :OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ISSUED ONLY BY VARIOUS LOCAL NWS OFFICES. :BELOW ARE 6-HOURLY FORECASTS. : : :************************************************************************* :GENESEE RVR AT WELLSVILLE NY :FLOOD STAGE 11.0 : :LATEST STAGE 4.8 FT AT 0945 EST ON 1126 .ER WLLN6 20091126 E DC200911261048/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 7AM 1PM 7PM 1AM .E1 :1126: / 4.8/ 4.8/ 4.8 .E2 :1127:/ 4.9/ 5.0/ 5.2/ 5.4 .E3 :1128:/ 5.3/ 5.3 :Local MAP - 4 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1126. : 0.00/0.03/0.00/0.00/ :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1128. : 0.00/0.03/0.06/0.08/0.09/0.06/0.00/0.02/ :************************************************************************* :GENESEE RVR AT PORTAGEVILLE NY :FLOOD STAGE 19.0 : :LATEST STAGE 9.4 FT AT 1000 EST ON 1126 .ER PRTN6 20091126 E DC200911261048/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 7AM 1PM 7PM 1AM .E1 :1126: / 9.5/ 9.5/ 9.5 .E2 :1127:/ 9.5/ 9.6/ 9.7/ 9.9 .E3 :1128:/ 10.0/ 10.2 :Local MAP - 4 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1126. : 0.01/0.06/0.00/0.00/ :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1128. : 0.01/0.03/0.04/0.06/0.08/0.06/0.00/0.02/ :************************************************************************* :GENESEE AT MT MORRIS DAM : : :LATEST POOL ELEVATION 591.2 FT AT 1000 EST ON 1126 .ER MMDN6 20091126 E DC200911261048/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 7AM 1PM 7PM 1AM .E1 :1126: / 591.2/ 591.2/ 591.2 .E2 :1127:/ 591.2/ 591.2/ 591.2/ 591.2 .E3 :1128:/ 591.2/ 591.2 :Local MAP - 4 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1126. : 0.02/0.05/0.00/0.00/ :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1128. : 0.00/0.03/0.04/0.07/0.07/0.07/0.01/0.02/ :************************************************************************* :GENESEE AT AVON NY :FLOOD STAGE 33.0 : :LATEST STAGE 16.9 FT AT 1000 EST ON 1126 .ER AVON6 20091126 E DC200911261048/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 7AM 1PM 7PM 1AM .E1 :1126: / 16.9/ 16.9/ 16.8 .E2 :1127:/ 16.9/ 17.2/ 17.6/ 18.0 .E3 :1128:/ 18.5/ 19.0 :Local MAP - 4 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1126. : 0.01/0.03/0.00/0.00/ :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1128. : 0.00/0.02/0.05/0.10/0.08/0.08/0.01/0.02/ : RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************************* :OATKA CR AT GARBUTT :FLOOD STAGE 6.0 : :LATEST STAGE 2.5 FT AT 1000 EST ON 1126 .ER GRBN6 20091126 E DC200911261048/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 7AM 1PM 7PM 1AM .E1 :1126: / 2.5/ 2.6/ 2.6 .E2 :1127:/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6 .E3 :1128:/ 2.6/ 2.6 :Local MAP - 4 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1126. : 0.04/0.04/0.00/0.00/ :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1128. : 0.00/0.03/0.04/0.07/0.06/0.06/0.00/0.02/ :************************************************************************* :BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE NY :FLOOD STAGE 6.0 : :LATEST STAGE 1.8 FT AT 1000 EST ON 1126 .ER CHRN6 20091126 E DC200911261048/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 7AM 1PM 7PM 1AM .E1 :1126: / 1.8/ 1.8/ 1.9 .E2 :1127:/ 1.9/ 1.9/ 1.9/ 2.0 .E3 :1128:/ 2.0/ 2.1 :Local MAP - 4 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1126. : 0.05/0.04/0.00/0.00/ :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1128. : 0.00/0.03/0.03/0.07/0.06/0.06/0.00/0.01/ :************************************************************************* :GENESEE RIVER AT ROCHESTER NY :FLOOD STAGE 15.0 : :LATEST STAGE 3.8 FT AT 0700 EST ON 1126 .ER RHRN6 20091126 E DC200911261048/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 7AM 1PM 7PM 1AM .E1 :1126: / 3.8/ 3.9/ 4.0 .E2 :1127:/ 4.0/ 4.2/ 4.4/ 4.7 .E3 :1128:/ 4.9/ 5.1 :Local MAP - 4 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1126. : 0.02/0.03/0.00/0.00/ :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1128. : 0.00/0.03/0.05/0.12/0.08/0.09/0.01/0.02/ : RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************************* :HONEOYE CREEK AT HONEOYE FALLS NY :FLOOD STAGE 4.5 : :LATEST STAGE 0.6 FT AT 1000 EST ON 1126 :CREST VALUE OF 0.9 FOUND FOR HNYN6 AT 07E ON 1129. .ER HNYN6 20091126 E DC200911261048/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 7AM 1PM 7PM 1AM .E1 :1126: / 0.6/ 0.6/ 0.7 .E2 :1127:/ 0.7/ 0.7/ 0.7/ 0.8 .E3 :1128:/ 0.8/ 0.8 :Local MAP - 4 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1126. : 0.00/0.03/0.00/0.00/ :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1128. : 0.00/0.03/0.07/0.16/0.10/0.09/0.01/0.02/ : RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************************* :CANANDAIGUA LAKE AT CANANDAIGUA NY : : :LATEST ESTIMATED POOL ELEVATION 687.2 FT AT 0700 EST ON 1126 .ER CNDN6 20091126 E DC200911261048/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 7AM 1PM 7PM 1AM .E1 :1126: / 687.2/ 687.2/ 687.2 .E2 :1127:/ 687.2/ 687.3/ 687.3/ 687.3 .E3 :1128:/ 687.3/ 687.3 :Local MAP - 4 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1126. : 0.00/0.02/0.00/0.00/ :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1128. : 0.00/0.04/0.08/0.20/0.12/0.10/0.03/0.02/ : NO RECENT GAGE OBSERVATION AVAILABLE :************************************************************************* :CANANDAIGUA OUTLET AT CHAPIN NY : : :LATEST STAGE 3.3 FT AT 0600 EST ON 1126 .ER CPNN6 20091126 E DC200911261048/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 7AM 1PM 7PM 1AM .E1 :1126: / 3.3/ 3.4/ 3.4 .E2 :1127:/ 3.5/ 3.5/ 3.6/ 3.6 .E3 :1128:/ 3.6/ 3.6 :************************************************************************* :BLACK RIVER AT BOONVILLE NY :FLOOD STAGE 10.0 : :LATEST STAGE 4.8 FT AT 1000 EST ON 1126 .ER BOON6 20091126 E DC200911261048/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 7AM 1PM 7PM 1AM .E1 :1126: / 4.9/ 4.9/ 4.9 .E2 :1127:/ 4.9/ 4.9/ 5.1/ 5.4 .E3 :1128:/ 5.7/ 6.0 :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1128. : 0.00/0.00/0.03/0.07/0.31/0.27/0.08/0.05/ : RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************************* :BLACK RIVER AT WATERTOWN NY :FLOOD STAGE 10.0 : :LATEST STAGE 3.9 FT AT 0930 EST ON 1126 .ER ARTN6 20091126 E DC200911261048/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 7AM 1PM 7PM 1AM .E1 :1126: / 3.9/ 3.9/ 3.9 .E2 :1127:/ 3.9/ 4.0/ 4.0/ 4.2 .E3 :1128:/ 4.3/ 4.4 :Local MAP - 4 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1126. : 0.00/0.10/0.09/0.00/ :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1128. : 0.00/0.00/0.04/0.06/0.28/0.25/0.07/0.04/ :************************************************************************* :TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA NY :FLOOD STAGE 9.0 : :LATEST STAGE 2.2 FT AT 1000 EST ON 1126 .ER BTVN6 20091126 E DC200911261048/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 7AM 1PM 7PM 1AM .E1 :1126: / 2.1/ 2.2/ 2.2 .E2 :1127:/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.3 .E3 :1128:/ 2.4/ 2.5 :Local MAP - 4 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1126. : 0.05/0.05/0.00/0.00/ :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1128. : 0.01/0.03/0.03/0.04/0.05/0.05/0.00/0.02/ :************************************************************************* :TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS NY :FLOOD STAGE 12.0 : :LATEST STAGE 2.2 FT AT 0700 EST ON 1126 .ER RAPN6 20091126 E DC200911261048/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 7AM 1PM 7PM 1AM .E1 :1126: / 2.3/ 2.3/ 2.3 .E2 :1127:/ 2.4/ 2.4/ 2.4/ 2.5 .E3 :1128:/ 2.5/ 2.5 :Local MAP - 4 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1126. : 0.07/0.05/0.00/0.00/ :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1128. : 0.01/0.03/0.02/0.04/0.04/0.04/0.00/0.01/ :************************************************************************* :CATTARAUGUS CREEK AT GOWANDA NY :FLOOD STAGE 10.0 : :LATEST STAGE 2.4 FT AT 0735 EST ON 1126 .ER GOWN6 20091126 E DC200911261048/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 7AM 1PM 7PM 1AM .E1 :1126: / 2.5/ 2.5/ 2.5 .E2 :1127:/ 2.5/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.7 .E3 :1128:/ 2.8/ 2.9 :Local MAP - 4 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1126. : 0.02/0.06/0.00/0.00/ :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1128. : 0.03/0.03/0.01/0.03/0.06/0.06/0.00/0.02/ :************************************************************************* :BUFFALO CREEK AT GARDENVILLE NY :FLOOD STAGE 7.0 : :LATEST STAGE 1.3 FT AT 1015 EST ON 1126 .ER GDVN6 20091126 E DC200911261048/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 7AM 1PM 7PM 1AM .E1 :1126: / 1.3/ 1.4/ 1.4 .E2 :1127:/ 1.3/ 1.4/ 1.4/ 1.5 .E3 :1128:/ 1.6/ 1.6 :Local MAP - 4 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1126. : 0.06/0.07/0.00/0.00/ :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1128. : 0.02/0.03/0.01/0.03/0.05/0.05/0.00/0.02/ :************************************************************************* :CAYUGA CREEK AT LANCASTER NY :FLOOD STAGE 8.0 : :LATEST STAGE 4.3 FT AT 1030 EST ON 1126 .ER LCSN6 20091126 E DC200911261048/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 7AM 1PM 7PM 1AM .E1 :1126: / 4.3/ 4.2/ 4.1 .E2 :1127:/ 4.1/ 4.2/ 4.2/ 4.3 .E3 :1128:/ 4.3/ 4.3 :Local MAP - 4 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1126. : 0.06/0.05/0.00/0.00/ :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1128. : 0.01/0.03/0.01/0.03/0.04/0.04/0.00/0.02/ :************************************************************************* :CAZENOVIA CREEK AT EBENEZER NY :FLOOD STAGE 10.0 : :LATEST STAGE 2.8 FT AT 0800 EST ON 1126 .ER EBZN6 20091126 E DC200911261048/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 7AM 1PM 7PM 1AM .E1 :1126: / 2.8/ 2.9/ 2.9 .E2 :1127:/ 2.9/ 2.9/ 3.0/ 3.1 .E3 :1128:/ 3.2/ 3.1 :Local MAP - 4 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1126. : 0.05/0.07/0.00/0.00/ :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1128. : 0.02/0.03/0.01/0.03/0.05/0.05/0.00/0.02/ :************************************************************************* :ELLICOTT CREEK AT WILLIAMSVILLE NY :FLOOD STAGE 8.0 : :LATEST ESTIMATED STAGE 2.5 FT AT 0700 EST ON 1126 .ER WILN6 20091126 E DC200911261048/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :QPF FCST 7AM 1PM 7PM 1AM .E1 :1126: / 2.5/ 2.5/ 2.5 .E2 :1127:/ 2.5/ 2.5/ 2.5/ 2.5 .E3 :1128:/ 2.5/ 2.6 :Local MAP - 4 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1126. : 0.07/0.06/0.00/0.00/ :Local QPF - 8 6 hr pds - ending at 07AM EST on 1128. : 0.01/0.03/0.01/0.04/0.04/0.04/0.00/0.01/ :******************************************************************** :COMMENT : : : : $$ :NERFC :...END of MESSAGE...