FLUS44 KOUN 071200 HWOOUN HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK 700 AM CDT SUN SEP 7 2008 OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-071700- HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE- ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM- WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND- POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN- COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON- CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER- WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY- 700 AM CDT SUN SEP 7 2008 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN... CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK... THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS THE NORTHERN TWO THIRDS OF OKLAHOMA. ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS MAY OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. DISCUSSION... A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING NEAR... AND NORTH OF... A WARM FRONT THAT WILL LIFT NORTH ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. WEAK INSTABILITY AND MODEST VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL LIMIT THE ABILITY OF STORMS TO ORGANIZE... WHICH WILL LIKEWISE REDUCE THE CHANCES OF SEVERE STORMS. HOWEVER... AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM CANNOT BE RULED OUT DURING TH WARMEST PART OF THE DAY. ANOTHER STORM COMPLEX IS EXPECTED TO FORM TONIGHT... BUT THE MID-LEVEL FRONTAL ZONE WILL SHIFT FARTHER NORTH... WHICH SHOULD KEEP MOST... IF NOT ALL... OF THE STORMS NORTH OF THE OKLAHOMA BORDER. PROBABILITY TABLE... VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT MONDAY SEP 8. PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...40 PERCENT. PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...30 PERCENT. OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER... NONE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY... THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK... THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY FROM MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY... EXCEPT FOR A BRIEF BREAK TUESDAY NIGHT AS COOL HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER... NONE. THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT NOON TODAY. $$ CMS