FNUS53 KJKL 051050 FWFJKL FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 650 AM EDT FRI SEP 5 2008 ...MORE MOIST WEST...STILL VERY DRY EAST... .DISCUSSION...AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WAS CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN MICHIGAN...WITH A COLD FRONT TRAILING SOUTH THROUGH WESTERN KENTUCKY TO THE GULF COAST. THIS FRONT WILL DRIFT SLOWLY EAST...MOVING THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA LATE TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. WITH THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE FRONT THERE WILL BE A SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCE IN WEATHER CONDITIONS FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE AREA. TO THE WEST THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY INTO SATURDAY WITH MUCH MORE MOIST CONDITIONS. MEANWHILE...IN THE EAST IT WILL BE QUITE QUITE DRY FOR ANOTHER 24 TO 36 HOURS WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF RAIN NOT ARRIVING UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...AND JUST A CHANCE AT THAT. WITH THE DRY AIR IN THE EAST TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN SOAR INTO THE UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90 DEGREES RESULTING IN HUMIDITY LEVELS DOWN INTO THE 20 TO 25 PERCENT RANGE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN OVER THE MIDWESTERN UNITED STATES SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK BRINGING DRY WEATHER AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO THE AREA. KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-083-060400- FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE- JACKSON-PULASKI-WAYNE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING... OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG... MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...MONTICELLO 650 AM EDT FRI SEP 5 2008 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87. 24 HR TREND......AROUND 5 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......15-20 PERCENT WETTER. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. LAL.................3. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....67. VENT RATE...........GOOD (66900 KNOT-FT). PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT. QPF (INCHES)........0.00 - 0.25 INCHES. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65. 24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......10-15 PERCENT WETTER. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. LAL.................3. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT. QPF (INCHES)........0.00 - 0.20 INCHES. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....80 TO 85. 24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AT 5 TO 10 MPH. LAL.................3. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....39. VENT RATE...........FAIR (38700 KNOT-FT). PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT. QPF (INCHES)........0.00 - 0.05 INCHES. $$ KYZ080-084>086-104-106>109-111-112-114>117-060400- LAUREL-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN- LEE-BREATHITT-OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LONDON...WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN... WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY... PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON... BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN 650 AM EDT FRI SEP 5 2008 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90. 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......5-10 PERCENT WETTER. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. LAL.................2. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AT 5 TO 10 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....59. VENT RATE...........GOOD (58700 KNOT-FT). PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT. QPF (INCHES)........0.00 - 0.05 INCHES. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....60 VALLEYS TO UPPER 60S RIDGES. 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER. MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT RIDGES TO NEAR 100 PERCENT VALLEYS. 24 HR TREND......0-10 PERCENT DRIER. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. LAL.................3. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT. QPF (INCHES)........0.00 - 0.05 INCHES. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MID 80S. 24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......5-10 PERCENT WETTER. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AT AROUND 10 MPH. LAL.................3. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....50. VENT RATE...........FAIR (49900 KNOT-FT). PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT. QPF (INCHES)........0.00 - 0.05 INCHES. $$ KYZ087-088-110-113-118>120-060400- BELL-HARLAN-FLOYD-KNOTT-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN... PRESTONSBURG...HINDMAN...WHITESBURG...INEZ...PIKEVILLE 650 AM EDT FRI SEP 5 2008 .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 90. 24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......0-5 PERCENT WETTER. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. LAL.................1. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....30. VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (30300 KNOT-FT). PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT. QPF (INCHES)........NONE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TOWARDS DAWN. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60 VALLEYS TO UPPER 60S RIDGES. 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED. MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT RIDGES TO 95 PERCENT VALLEYS. 24 HR TREND......0-5 PERCENT DRIER. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. LAL.................2. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT. QPF (INCHES)........0.00 - 0.05 INCHES. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85. 24 HR TREND......0-5 DEGREES COOLER. MIN HUMIDITY........40-50 PERCENT. 24 HR TREND......10-15 PERCENT WETTER. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AT AROUND 10 MPH. LAL.................3. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....56. VENT RATE...........GOOD (55700 KNOT-FT). PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT. QPF (INCHES)........0.00 - 0.20 INCHES. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. COOLER WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. $$ GREIF