FQZA31 FAPR 061715 SECURITE: ========= WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 06th of SEPTEMBER 2008 AT 17:15 UTC. FOR SOUTHEAST SECTOR OF METAREA VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, SEE AREA 2 BELOW. NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS. ====================== COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN RADIO. AREA 1: ======= FORECAST VALID FROM 062200 TO 072200 UTC. WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METRES. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF WAVES LESS THAN 3M. NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5. WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER. GALE WARNING(S): ================ 1. CAPE WEST : W to NW reaching 35 in the south-east at times. 2. CAPE EAST : Cyclonic 40 in the east but NE to N 35 in the west becoming W to NW 35 to 40 in the south-west by Sunday morning. 3. MARION FORTIES EAST: N to NW reaching 40 in the south-west. SYNOPTIC SITUATION AT 061200 UTC ================================ High 1022 hPa 20s10w High 1022 hPa 30s35e High 1032 35s90e Low 954 hPa 52s02e Low 958 hPa 58s20e Low 974 hPa 63s01w Low 974 hPa 67s43e Low 998 hPa 50s62e Low 1002 hPa 36s45e Low 1010 hPa 34s19e 1. Cold Front: 28s10w 35s00e 40s05e 45s10e 50s10e 52s02e 2. Cold Front: 25s44e 30s48e 35s50e 36s45e 41s50e 45s59e 50s62e AREA FORECAST ============== ASCENSION (06S/15S, 00E/20W) WIND : S to SE 10 to 15. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 2.5 to 3m, with S swell. ANGOLA (06S/15S, 00E/WEST COAST) WIND : SE 15 in the south-west, otherwise S to SW 10 to 15. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 2 to 3m, with S swell ST HELENA (15S/30S, 00E/20W) WIND : SW to NW 20 to 30 in the south spreading eastwards by the end of period, otherwise S to SE 15 to 20. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 2.5 to 4m in the extreme south, with SW swell. TRADES (15S/30S, 00E/WEST COAST) WIND : NW 15 to 25 in the extreme south, otherwise S to SE 10 to 15 but SW to S 10 in the extreme east. VIS : Good but poor in fog patches in the extreme east. SEA STATE: 2.0 to 3.5m, SSW swell. TRISTAN (30S/40S, 00E/20W) WIND : W 25 to 30 in the east at first, otherwise SW to S 20 to 30. VIS : Poor in rain and showers clearing from the west. SEA STATE: 5 to 7m, SW to W swell. CAPE WEST (30S/40S, 00E/20E) WIND : W to NW 25 to 30 reaching 35 in the south-east at times, Becoming SW 25 to 30 in the extreme west by the end of period. VIS : Good but poor in rain and showers in the south. SEA STATE: 2 to 4m, reaching 6m in the south-west spreading eastwards By the end of period, W to SW swell. CAPE EAST (32.5s/40s, 20E/50e) WIND : Cyclonic 20 to 40 in the east but NE to N 25 to 35 in the west becoming W to NW 35 to 40 in the south-west by Sunday morning. VIS : Good but poor in rain and showers in the east and west. SEA STATE: 3m to 4m, reaching 6 to 7.5m over the central interior, SW swell. DURBAN EAST (25S/32.5S, EAST COAST/55E) WIND : SE 15 in the extreme north-west at first, otherwise SW to W 20 to 30 but NE to N 15 to 25 in the extreme east and west. VIS : Good but poor in showers in the east. SEA STATE: 3m to 4.5m, reaching 5 to 6m over the extreme southern interior, SW swell. MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL: WIND : NE to N 05 to 10 in the extreme south, otherwise S to SE 10 to 15 but SW to W 10 to 15 in the north-east. VIS : Good. SEA STATE: 2.5 to 3.5m, with S swell. MADAGASCAR EAST: (10.5S/25S, MADAGASCAR COAST/55E) WIND : SE 15 to 20 in the north but E to NE 10 to 20 in the south. VIS : Good but poor in rain and showers in the south. SEA STATE: 3 to 3.5m reaching 4m in the south-east at first, SSW swell. MARION FORTIES EAST: (40S/50S, 35E/50E) WIND : NE to SE 20 to 25 in the extreme north at first, otherwise N to NW 20 to 30 reaching 40 in the south-west. VIS : Poor in rain and showers. SEA STATE: 3 to 4.5m reaching 5 to 6m in the extreme north at first, SW to NW swell. AREA 2: ======== MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN) DATE : 06/09/2008 UTC TIME : 1700 AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE. PART 1: STORM WARNING: NEANT, BUT GALE FORCE 8 RUNNING OVER CRO AND KER. PART 2: GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 08/09/06 AT 1200 UTC: WAVING WARM/ COLD FRONT AXIS: 44S/45E, 46S/51E, 48S/55E, 50S/62E, 48S/68E, WIITH ASSOCIATED LOW 1000 HPA NEAR 50S/62E MOVING EASTWARD 35/40KT. OLD FRONT AXIS 30S/47E, 35S/49E, 39S/48E, 40S/48E, WITH ASSOCIATED LOW 999 HPA NEAR 36S/45E, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD SLOWLY. HIGHS 1031 HPA NEAR 38S/77E, ALMOST STATIONARY, AND 1024 HPA MOVING EASTWARD 20/25KT. PART 3: FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 06/09/2008 AT 1800 UTC TO 07/09/2008 AT 1800 UTC: WAM (30S/40S,50E/65E) : FRONTAL RAINS AND SHOWERS WIND: NNE 4 TO 7 FROM EAST TO WEST. SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH, VERY ROUGH OVER WESTERN AREA. MODERATE S-W SWELL, THEN HEAVY NORTHWEST SWELL OVER FAR WESTERN AREA. VIS : POOR UNDER PRECIPITATIONS. AMS (30S/40S,65E/80E) : SHOWERS. WIND: ANTICLOCKWISE 3 TO 5. SEA : MODERATE. HEAVY S-W SWELL, BECOMING MODERATE. VIS : MODERATE UNDER PRECIPITATIONS. CRO (40S/50S,50E/65E) : FRONTAL RAINS AND SHOWERS AT THE BEGINNING. WIND: W TO N-W 5 TO 8 FROM NORTH TO SOUTH, BECOMING QUICKLY ANTICLOCKWISE 4/5 FROM WESTERN AREA, REACHING 6 NW OVER FAR SOUTHERN AREA. SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH, THEN MODERATE TO ROUGH. HEAVY W SWELL OVER EASTERN AREA, BECOMING MODERATE. VIS : POOR UNDER PRECIPITATIONS. KER (40S/50S,65E/80E) : FRONTAL RAINS AND SHOWERS WIND : NW THEN W 5 TO 8 FROM NORTH TO SOUTH, DECREASING 5/6 AT THE BEGINNING, THEN VARIABLE 3/4 OVER NORTH, MAINLY SOUTHERLY. SEA : ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH, BECOMING MODERATE TO ROUGH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. HEAVY W SWELL BECOMING MODERATE. VIS : POOR UNDER PRECIPITATIONS.=