FQZA81 FAPR 291700
SECURITE:
=========
WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII. EAST OF 20E.
ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE 
29th of AUGUST 2008 AT 17:00 UTC. 
FOR SOUTHEAST SECTOR OF METAREA VII, PREPARED BY REUNION, 
SEE AREA 2 BELOW.
NOTE: WX OBSERVATIONS.
======================
COULD ALL VESSELS EXPERIENCING UNEXPECTED, SEVERE WX/SEA STATE 
PLEASE MAKE EVERY EFFORT TO REPORT THIS TO SAWS VIA CAPE TOWN 
RADIO. 
AREA 1:
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FORECAST VALID FROM 292200 TO 302200 UTC.
WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METRES. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF 
WAVES LESS THAN 3M.
NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS. 
INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.
WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED 
BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.
GALE WARNING(S):
================ 
1. CAPE EAST     : W to NW 35 to 45 in the west by Saturday morning,
                   spreading over the central part by evening.
2. MARION FORTIES EAST: NW to NE 25 to 35 in the south during the
                   first half of the period.
SYNOPTIC SITUATION AT 291200 UTC
================================
High 1030 hPa 32s17w High 1032 hPa 36s86e
Low   974 hPa 47s03e Low   970 hPa 56s08e Low  1002 hPa 36s14e  
Low   978 hPa 52s27e Low   978 hPa 58s26e Low  1006 hPa 33s40e
Low  1010 hPa 46s66e
1. Cold Front: 45s23w 44s05w 47s03e              
2. Cold Front: 33s02e 35s06e 40s08e 45s11e 50s13e 56s08e
3. Cold Front: 32s26e 40s32e 45s33e 52s27e 55s33e 58s26e
4. Cold Front: 34s54e 40s64e 46s66e
AREA FORECAST
==============
CAPE EAST (32.5s/40s, 20E/50e)   
WIND     : W to NW 20 to 30, reaching 35 to 45 in the west by 
           Saturday morning, spreading over the central part by
           evening.
VIS      : Poor in rain and showers.
SEA STATE: 2.5 to 3.5m, reaching 5 to 9m over the western half, with 
           S to SW swell.
DURBAN EAST (25S/32.5S, EAST COAST/55E)
WIND     : NE to NW 15 to 25.
VIS      : Good but moderate in showers in the south. 
SEA STATE: 2.5 to 3.5m in the south and west, S to SW swell.
MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:
WIND     : SE to E 10 to 15 in the extreme north, otherwise N to 
           NE 10 to 20 reaching 25 in the south-west by Saturday 
           afternoon.
VIS      : Good.
SEA STATE: 2.5m in the south, SSW swell.
MADAGASCAR EAST: (10.5S/25S, MADAGASCAR COAST/55E) 
WIND     : N to NE 10 to 20 but SE 15 to 25 in the north.
VIS      : Good but moderate in showers in the north.
SEA STATE: 3m in the north, S swell.
MARION FORTIES EAST: (40S/50S, 35E/50E)
WIND     : NW to NE 10 to 20 reaching 25 to 35 in the south during
           the first half of the period.
VIS      : Poor in rain and showers.
SEA STATE: 2.5 to 3.5m reaching 4m in the west, SE to NE swell.
AREA 2:
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MARINE METEOROLOGICAL BULLETIN FROM METEO-FRANCE/LA REUNION ON AREA
ACK (AMSTERDAM-CROZET-KERGUELEN)
DATE : 08/08/29  UTC TIME : 1730
AVERAGED WIND SPEED ON BEAUFORT SCALE
WIND GUSTS MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGES GIVEN HERE.
PART 1:
STORM WARNING : NIL.
PART 2:
GENERAL SYNOPSIS, 08/08/29 AT 1200 UTC :
- HIGH 1023 HPA NEAR 48S/52E, MOVING EASTWARD 15/20 KT.
- LOW 1010 HPA NEAR 45S/63E FILLING ON PLACE.
PART 3:
FORECAST FOR 24 HOURS FROM 08/08/29 AT 1800 UTC TO 08/08/30 AT
1800 UTC :
WAM (30S/40S,50E/65E) :  RAIN AND SHOWERS.
WIND: W TO NW 4 TO 6.
SEA : MODERATE, TO LOCALLY ROUGH.
VIS : POOR IN PRECIPITATIONS.
AMS (30S/40S,65E/80E) : SCATTERED SHOWERS.
WIND: W TO  N-W 4 TO 6.
SEA : MODERATE, TO ROUGH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH.
VIS : MODERATE IN SHOWERS.
CRO (40S/50S,50E/65E) : SHOWERS.
WIND: CLOCKWISE 4/6 OVER EASTERN. ELSEWHERE NORTHERLY 4/5.
SEA : MODERATE TO ROUGH.
VIS : MODERATE IN PRECIPITATIONS.
KER (40S/50S,65E/80E) : RAIN OR SNOW.
WIND: WESTERLY 3 TO 5 OVER NORTHERN. ELSEWHERE EASTERLY 5 TO 7.
SEA : ROUGH.
VIS : MODERATE IN PRECIPITATIONS.=