FXUS01 KWBC 080843
PMDSPD
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
442 AM EDT MON SEP 08 2008
 
VALID 12Z MON SEP 08 2008 - 00Z WED SEP 10 2008
 
HURRICANE IKE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST ALONG CUBA
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AS IT NEARS THE FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT
INTO TUESDAY... TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS APPEAR LIKELY OVER
SOUTHERN FLORIDA EVEN AS IKE WEAKENS WHILE TRACKING OVER LAND. IKE
IS FORECAST TO REEMERGE INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO TUESDAY EVENING
WHERE IT WILL LIKELY RESTRENGTHEN AS IT TRACKS TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST. AT THIS TIME... THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY IN THE TRACK
OF IKE AND THE LATEST FORECAST FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
SHOULD BE REFERENCED FOR THE MOST UP TO DATE INFORMATION ON THIS
SYSTEM.
LOOKING TOWARD THE PLAINS... UNSEASONABLY COOL AIR BEHIND A COLD
FRONT OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL U.S. IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE
UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TODAY AND THE GREAT LAKES REGION AND OHIO
VALLEY FOR TUESDAY AS THE FRONT MOVES EAST. THE COLD FRONT IS ALSO
FORECAST TO SAG SOUTH INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS FOR TUESDAY...
HOWEVER IT IS NOT EXPECTED TO HAVE A LARGE IMPACT ON TEMPERATURES
EXCEPT UNDER OVERCAST OR RAINY SKIES. 
WIDESPREAD RAIN WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY OVER THE
CENTRAL PLAINS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST TODAY AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH... IMPACTING AREAS FROM IOWA AND MISSOURI INTO THE CENTRAL
AND EASTERN GREAT LAKES REGIONS. THIS AREA OF STEADY RAIN WILL
CONTINUE MOVING NORTHEAST AFFECTING NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON
TUESDAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO LIKELY AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT AS
IT APPROACHES THE MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST TUESDAY. BY THIS
POINT IN TIME... IT APPEARS OVERRUNNING PRECIPITATION WILL BE
GENERATING WET CONDITIONS OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHERN TEXAS INTO
LOUISIANA AS LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW TRANSPORTS MOISTURE UP AND
OVER THE FRONT. A RELATIVELY STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD
MOVE IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION ALLOWING
FOR CLEARING CONDITIONS BY WEDNESDAY OVER THE NORTHEAST CORNER OF
THE U.S.
ELSEWHERE... DIURNALLY FAVORED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL FIRE
OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES TODAY AND TUESDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE SOMEWHAT ABOVE NORMAL TODAY OVER
THE WEST... AND SHOULD FALL CLOSER TO NORMAL BY MID WEEK AS UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING BREAKS DOWN ACROSS THE WEST COAST.
OTTO
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
±$$