FXUS61 KPBZ 050753
AFDPBZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
353 AM EDT SUN JUL 5 2009
.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE REGION TO THE CAROLINAS
TONIGHT WITH ONLY A FEW SHOWERS TOWARD THE MASON DIXON LINE TODAY.
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL INTO MID
WEEK WITH GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS. 
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AREA OF SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTHERN OHIO AND CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA
WITH SHORTWAVE AND SURFACE LOW HEADING TOWARD THE MID ATLANTIC.
DEEP MOISTURE AND LIFT WELL SOUTH OF CWA WITH MAINLY A LOW CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS THIS MORNING FAR SOUTH. DEEP DRYING WILL WORK INTO
REGION TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES REMAINING BELOW NORMAL. 
&&
.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE ALOFT THIS PERIOD WITH CLOSED LOW
MOVING ACROSS NEW ENGLAND AND BETTER MOISTURE WITH THIS SYSTEM
JUST SKIRTING NORTHERN COUNTIES. LEFT FORECAST DRY FOR NOW AS BEST
MOISTURE LOOKS TO STAY IN NEW YORK STATE. TEMPERATURES STILL ABOUT
5 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL ON AVERAGE. 
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
GRADUAL WARM UP FOR MID WEEK AS HEIGHTS RISE INTO THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ATTEMPTS TO BUILD NORTHEAST. WARM UP
NOW APPEARS TO BE SHORT LIVED AS BOTH NEW ECMWF AND GFS BRING YET
ANOTHER CLOSED LOW ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TOWARD THE WEEKEND WITH
NORTHWEST FLOW AGAIN BECOMING DOMINATE. WENT WITH CHC SHOWERS FOR
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AHEAD OF AND WITH COLD FRONT WITH THIS SYSTEM. 
&&
.AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
WEAK SURFACE LOW SOUTH OF FORECAST AREA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO
THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST THROUGH THIS FORECAST PERIOD. VERY WEAK
SURFACE HIGH ACROSS TERMINALS IN WAKE OF LOW. VFR CONDITIONS THIS
FORECAST PERIOD WITH EXCEPTION OF MVFR FKL-DUJ IN EARLY FOG AND
CIGS. FKL COULD GO TEMPO IFR 09Z-12Z. ALSO SOME MVFR POSSIBLE ZZV
IN EARLY BR. WINDS LIGHT AND VRBL. WEAK HIGH CONTINUES WITH VFR
THROUGH MONDAY. UPPER LEVEL LOW PIVOTING AROUND THE LOW WHICH JUST
EXITED WILL KEEP NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT INTO LATE MONDAY AND TUESDAY
WHICH WILL DRIVE WEAK DISTURBANCE SOUTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL PA AND
NEW ENGLAND INTO TUESDAY. HOWEVER, EXPECT GENERAL VFR ACROSS
FORECAST AREA.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO AREA FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WITH 
GENERAL VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUING.
&&
.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
WV...NONE.
&&
$$