FZAK80 PAFC 210302 CCA ICEAFC SEA ICE ADVISORY FOR WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 655 PM AKDT MONDAY MAY 20 2013 ...CORRECTED TO ADD THE BERING SEA PORTION... FORECAST VALID...SATURDAY MAY 20 2013 ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...MODERATE TO HIGH. SYNOPSIS...A STRONG LOW OVER THE BERING SEA WILL MOVE OVER THE CHUKCHI SEA BY FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE NORTHERN CHUKCHI SEA AND THE BEAUFORT SEA TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE BERING SEA WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. A DEVELOPING NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL APPROACH THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS SATURDAY. -ARCTIC OCEAN- -BEAUFORT SEA- -CHUKCHI SEA- PKZ245-FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT- PKZ240-CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND- PKZ235-POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT- PKZ230-CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN- PKZ225-CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT- PKZ220-WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON- PKZ215-KOTZEBUE SOUND- ICE COVERED. AN AREA OF OPEN WATER UP TO 20 NM WIDE LIES OFF THE SHOREFAST ICE TO THE NORTHEAST OF POINT BARROW. FORECAST THROUGH SATURDAY...LEADS WILL CONTINUE TO OPEN ALONG THE NORTH COAST THROUGH THURSDAY. LEADS WILL OPEN ALONG WEST FACING COASTS THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. SHOREFAST ICE REMAINS UNSTABLE EXCEPT WHERE GROUNDED. -BERING SEA- PKZ210-DALL POINT TO WALES- PKZ200-NORTON SOUND- PKZ185-ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS PKZ180-SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT- THE ICE EDGE LIES FROM NEAR CAPE NEWENHAM TO 59.4N 162.6W TO 59.2N 163.6W TO 58.5N 164.1W TO 57.6N 168.9W TO 59.7N 174.2W TO 61.7N 176.9W TO 61.9N 177.9E TO 60.5N 171.6E AND CONTINUES ALONG THE BERING COAST OF KAMCHATKA. THE ICE EDGE WEST OF 170W IS OPEN WATER. THE ICE EDGE EAST OF 170W IS MAINLY 6 TO 9 TENTHS NEW...YOUNG AND FIRST YEAR THIN ICE. FORECAST THROUGH SATURDAY...THE DRAMATIC ICE RETREAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY THEN SLOW THROUGH SATURDAY. THE ICE WILL MOVE TO THE NORTH 25 TO 45 NM BY THURSDAY...THEN MOVE TO THE NORTH 15 TO 25 NM THROUGH SATURDAY. THE NET ICE MOVEMENT WILL BE TO THE NORTH 40 TO 70 NM. LEADS WILL OPEN ALONG WEST AND NORTH FACING COASTS. SHOREFAST ICE SHOULD BE CONSIDERED VERY UNSTABLE. KCOLE 2013 $$