NZUS99 KLOT 271818 WRKAVA AVIATION FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 118 PM CDT TUE MAR 27 2012 //ORD AND MDW CONCERNS...UPDATED 18Z... * SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO ARND 30KT THIS AFTERNOON. * FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE THIS EVENING...ASSOCIATED PRECIP/TS COVERAGE/INTENSITY A CONCERN. * WINDS VEERING SWLY TO WLY FOLLOWING FRONTAL PASSAGE. KREIN/PAW //DISCUSSION...UPDATED 18Z... COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING INTO NORTHERN ILLINOIS THIS EVENING. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHRA/TSRA DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE FRONT IN THE 00Z-04Z TIME FRAME. THE EARLY PART OF THAT PERIOD AT RFD AND A LITTLE LATER IN THE PERIOD AT THE EASTERN TERMINALS. COVERAGE IS STILL UNCERTAIN...WITH NORTHERN ILLINOIS BEING NEAR THE NORTH EDGE OF A LARGE AREA FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THE FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH QUICKLY OVERNIGHT ENDING THE THREAT OF SHRA/TSRA AND SHIFTING WINDS TO THE WEST. KREIN/PAW //ORD AND MDW CONFIDENCE...UPDATED 18Z... * HIGH CONFIDENCE IN WIND FORECAST. * MODERATE CONFIDENCE ON FRONTAL PASSAGE TIMING * LOW TO MODERATE CONFIDENCE ON TSRA COVERAGE/INTENSITY KREIN/PAW //OUTLOOK FOR ORD/MDW FOR 00Z THURSDAY-12Z TUESDAY...UPDATED 12Z... * WEDNESDAY...VFR. GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS. * THURSDAY...VFR. * FRIDAY...CHC OF -SHRA AND SLIGHT CHC OF -TSRA. * SATURDAY...CHC OF -SHRA AND SLIGHT CHC OF -TSRA. * SUNDAY...VFR. SHEA