WTIO20 FMEE 081203
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/11/2009
AT
1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 003/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40? STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).
WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY    08/11/2009 AT 1200 UTC.
PHENOMENON:        TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 1003 HPA
POSITION:          WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT  3.9S / 73.1E
(THREE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY THREE DECIMAL ONE
DEGREES
EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT:          SOUTH 3 KT
THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS FROM 100 NM TO  300 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER
MAINLY
 LOCATED IN THE WESTERN QUADRANT, EXTENDING UP TO 400 NM IN THE
SOUTHERN
SEMI-CIRCLE.
CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS VERY LOCALLY
REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 25/30 KT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.
FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2009/11/09 AT 00 UTC:
4.5S / 72.8E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.
24H, VALID 2009/11/09 AT 12 UTC:
4.8S / 72.6E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.
OTHER INFORMATIONS:
DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY NEAR THE CENTER HAS HAS CLEARLY SUFFERED
FROM
THE INCREASING EAST NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SINCE YESTERDAY
EVENING.
ALTHOUGH THE LOW LEVEL INFLOW ARE GOOD, UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IS
END OF PART ONE