WTPN31 PGTW 210900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 010 RELOCATED
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   210600Z --- NEAR 7.3N 112.8E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 24 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 7.3N 112.8E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   211800Z --- 6.6N 108.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 17 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   220600Z --- 5.6N 105.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
210900Z POSITION NEAR 7.1N 111.8E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 380 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO PRINCESA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED
WESTWARD AT 24 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.  RECENT ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS NOW WELL TO THE WEST OF WHERE PREVIOUS
INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATED.  THIS LLCC, HOWEVER, IS VERY ILL-DEFINED
AND AS THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BE SHEARED WESTWARD.
THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE MSI ANIMATION WITH POOR
CONFIDENCE, AND THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES
FROM PGTW AND KNES. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE TD IS LOCATED
WELL SOUTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE TO STRONG (20-30
KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS).  TD 02W IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON
ITS CURRENT WESTWARD TRACK AND DECREASE IN INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT
12 HOURS BEFORE DISSIPATING BY TAU 24, PRIMARILY DUE TO THE STRONG
VWS AND NORTHEAST SURGE.  THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM
BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI.  THE SYSTEM WILL BE
CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.  JUSTIFICATION FOR
RELOCATION: DISTANCE BETWEEN ANTICIPATED BEST TRACK POSITION BASED
ON PREVIOUS FORECAST AND THE CURRENT BEST TRACK POSITION DIFFER BY
GREATER THAN 60NM.  MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z IS 12
FEET.  NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z, 212100Z AND 220300Z.//