WTPS11 NFFN 051800
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A14 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI
Apr 05/1955 UTC 2009 UTC.
TROPICAL CYCLONE LIN 14F [985HPA] CATEGORY 2 CENTRE WAS LOCATED NEAR
25.0S 174.1W AT 051800 UTC. CYCLONE MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT ABOUT
12 KNOTS. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR/VIS IMAGERY WITH ANIMATION.
EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS 5O KNOTS CLOSE TO THE CENTRE, DERCREASING TO
35 KNOTS IN THE NEXT 6 HOURS. EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OVER 47 KNOTS
WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE. EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OVER 33
KNOTS WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE IN THE NORTHWESTERN
SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 120 NAUTICAL MILES OF CENTRE IN THE
SOUTHEASTERN SEMICIRCLE. 
DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED 75NM TO SOUTHEAST OF LLCC. CURRENTLY LIN LIES
IN A 30KT SHEAR ZONE. LIN STEERED BY LOW-LEVEL NORTHWESTERLIES INTO
AREA OF INCREASING SHEAR AND COOLER SST. DVORAK ANALYSIS BASED ON
SHEAR PATTERN. THUS DT=PT=MET=2.0. FT BASED ON DT, THUS
T2.0/3.5/W1.5/24HRS. GLOBAL MODELS AGREE ON FURTHER WEAKENING ALONG
SOUTHEAST TRACK.
FORECAST:
12HRS VALID AT 060600 UTC NEAR 28.2S 172.7W MOV SSE 17KT WITH 30KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE.  24HRS VALID AT 061800 UTC NEAR 30.7S 171.3W MOV SSE
14KT WITH 30KT CLOSE TO CENTRE.
OUTLOOK:
36HRS VALID AT 070600 UTC NEAR 32.5S 169.3W MOV  SE 12KT WITH 25KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE.
48HRS VALID AT 071800 UTC NEAR 34.2S 166.9W MOV  SE 13KT WITH 25KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE.
THIS IS THE FINAL TORPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY ON TROPICAL CYCLONE
LIN.