WTPS11 NFFN 031500    
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A28 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI
Feb 03/1732 UTC 2008 UTC.
TROPICAL CYCLONE GENE CENTRE [985HPA] CAT 2 NEAR 25.0S 172.4E AT
031500 UTC. POSITION GOOD BASED ON MTSAT EIR IMAGERY WITH ANIMATION.
CYCLONE MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST ABOUT 8 KNOTS AND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
SOUTHEAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS
ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS CLOSE TO THE CENTRE DECREASING TO 35 KNOTS IN
THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. WINDS OVER 47 KNOTS WITHIN 50 MILES OF
CENTRE. WINDS OVER 33 KNOTS WITHIN 240 MILES OF CENTRE IN THE
SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND WITHIN 120 MILES OF CENTRE ELSEWHERE.
DEEP CONVECTION STILL DISPLACED TO SOUTHERN FLANK AND TOPS CONTINUE
WARMING. CIMSS INDICATES MODERATE SHEAR OVER SYSTEM COUPLED WITH
COOLER DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT FROM SOUTH. CYCLONE MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
ALONG SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO NORTHEAST INTO
COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. DVORAK BASED ON 0.7 WRAP ON LOG10
SPIRAL YIELDING A DT=3.0, MET AND PAT AGREE THUS T3.0/3.5/W0.5/24HRS.
 
FORECAST:
12HRS VALID AT 040300 UTC NEAR 26.2S 173.3E MOV SSE 8KT WITH 35KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE.
24HRS VALID AT 041500 UTC NEAR 27.3S 174.8E MOV SE 10KT WITH 30KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE.
OUTLOOK:
36HRS VALID AT 050300 UTC NEAR 27.9S 177.0E MOV ESE 8KT WITH 25KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE.
48HRS VALID AT 051500 UTC NEAR 28.3S 179.5E MOV E 12KT WITH 25KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE.
THIS WILL BE THE FINAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY ON TROPICAL
CYCLONE GENE.